Category Archives: Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin marks a significant step forward in trust for all of us

“Bitcoin has no fundamental value” has long been the war cry for many traditional financial participants. This week we thought we could shed some light on this short-sighted mantra.

To highlight the clear value that Bitcoin affords, we first need to define what it is we are talking about.

So, what is Bitcoin?

Bitcoin is both a network and an asset. The Bitcoin network is a real-time gross settlement system comparable to Fedwire and Target. Settlement systems are the base layer of any financial system, and they leverage net settlement systems built on top to scale and provide utility to the day-to-day user.

The Bitcoin network requires participants called miners to contribute resources in order to process, execute and settle transactions. The process of performing these actions is costly, and miners are rewarded with bitcoin, the asset, for their participation.

Bitcoin, the asset, is a commodity on the Bitcoin network, it can be sent across the world, and you require it to pay the network’s fees. It is fungible, divisible, durable, portable, verifiable, scarce and has the additional properties of being censorship and seizure resistant.

Bitcoin also provides the user with high levels of certainty over its future dilution. Unlike fiat money, the issuance of bitcoin is codified and enforced by changes in the difficulty adjustment. This codified approach means bitcoins supply is impervious to changes in its demand.

Market Selected Forms of Money vs Fiat
No one reading this article has witnessed the rise of a market selected form of money; the money we use today is imposed on us and enforced by governments. A leader snapped his fingers and decided – “let it be done” (fiat’s direct translation) – that this paper we issue is now money and has value, backed by the promise of our government. It automatically served the role of being a medium of exchange, store of value and unit of account within that economy.

Market selected forms of money are different. They experience an evolution that challenges people’s perceptions of the money/asset. Historically, market selected forms of money have been commodities.

Gold is our best example. It initially started as a collectible, became a store of wealth, then widely adopted enough to be a medium of exchange and eventually became the very thing (or unit) we price everything in.

Bitcoin in its early days was merely a collectible that miners earnt for providing work to the Bitcoin network. The reason people wanted this collectible in its early days is different from why they demand it today. Initially, people would mine it or acquire it due to its perceived rarity and uniqueness; some, however, had incredible foresight and realised it may serve the role of money in the distant future.

The reasons people want it now are very different. Demand for Bitcoin today is driven by a market need for a non-discretionary, apolitical form of money. The price of Bitcoin is merely a lagging indicator of changing assumptions around money’s role in society. Market participants and institutions are buying bitcoin because it is superior to alternative monetary assets.

Even though market participants choose to store their wealth in Bitcoin, it doesn’t mean that Bitcoin is currently a safe or store of value asset. People are just voting (with their money) that Bitcoin will continue to succeed if demand for a non-discretionary apolitical monetary system continues to grow.

Will this demand continue?
The great financial crisis was a turning point for fiat money. This event — driven by the actions of irresponsible institutions caused an earthquake in financial markets. More importantly, the event caused interest rates all over the developed world to hit a zero bound.

When interest rates hit zero, monetary policy loses its effectiveness and even worse, the cost of money becomes zero. We have seen interest rates continue lower, and in some countries, even go negative. This transforms what is meant to be an asset for the buyer of a bond into a liability. The bond market is breaking in front of our eyes.

Total negative yielding debt is $18 trillion and growing. According to Bloomberg this means that 27% of the world’s investment grade debt is now sub-zero. Governments simply can’t afford to let rates go up.

Add quantitative easing to the mix, and the storm becomes that much harder to weather. Not only are bonds becoming liabilities, but governments are rapidly debasing the value of their currencies.

Read more: CITY A.M.

BITCOIN ONE YEAR LATER: RELIVING THE BLACK THURSDAY PANIC CRASH

Time flies. It is hard to imagine that one year ago today, Black Thursday struck Bitcoin and caused one of the largest single-day selloffs in the asset’s short history, but here we are.

In honor of all the billions of liquidations that took place that day, all the strong hands that held through the carnage, and the savvy investors who bought the blood in the streets, we’re looking back at that fateful day and how far the leading cryptocurrency by market cap has come in the short time since.

BLACK THURSDAY ANNIVERSARY: REMEMBERING THE CATASTROPHIC CRYPTO MARKET CRASH
Last February, the stock market had set a new all time high and Bitcoin price was back above $10,000 for the first time since summer of 2019. Things had began to pull back into March, but come March 12 panic fully set in, and there was a widespread selloff across all of crypto, and traditional markets like stocks and precious metals. The safe haven of the dollar was the only place to hide.

The United States had first began announcing lockdowns, quarantines, and social distancing guidelines. The initial panic not only wiped out markets, but store shelves everywhere were picked clean of essentials as the world feared the worst.

Bitcoin (Image: MichaelWuensch/Pixabay)
Bitcoin (Image: MichaelWuensch/Pixabay)

On March 12, the top cryptocurrency plummeted by 40% alone, capping off a move that culminated in more than 60% being shed from the local peak. The scar from that day will forever be left on the Bitcoin price charts of the billions of dollars liquidated that day.

STRENGTH OF POLAR MOVE RESULTS IN MOST POWERFUL UPTREND IN BITCOIN HISTORY
While that day was frightening for all, anyone brave enough to buy the blood, there’s never been a better example of how lucrative the upside can be.

There result of such a strong polar move down due to panic, has made an equally powerful polar move higher. The conditions post-pandemic just so happened to be the perfect storm for the ultra rare cryptocurrency asset, amidst the backdrop of an ever-expanding money supply.

The price per coin has risen more than ten-fold since then, from under $4,000 on that fateful day, to more than $58,000 per coin at the time of this writing.

Anyone who was greedy when others were fearful, or any holders that held when no one else would, are now enjoying the fruits of their labors.

Read more: Bitcoinist

Pompliano: The Government is Going to Push Bitcoin to $100,000

Bitcoin, which has finally broken its two weeks long slump is now on its way to $100,000 and the US government is going to play a major role in making it happen.

This is according to Anthony Pompliano, a renowned American entrepreneur, finance expert, co-founder of Morgan Creek digital assets fund, and staunch bitcoin supporter.

“The government is going to push bitcoin to $100,000 faster than any of us thought it would happen.”

The statement comes as nearly 160 million households in the US are expected to receive another stimulus check following the passing of the $1.9 trillion stimulus package.

Pompliano has been consistent with the opinion that the US government is actually hurting, rather than helping the US economy by injecting more debt as part of its fiscal measures against the pandemic.

“The stimulus package won’t cut poverty. It will accelerate it. There are no contrarians left on Wall Street. There are no contrarians left in finance.”

Bitcoin (Image: Antana/CCBY-SA2)
Bitcoin (Image: Antana/CCBY-SA2)

Bitcoin is the Answer to Undisciplined Monetary Policy
In a newsletter to investors, Pompliano explains that Bitcoin has outperformed gold and the S&P 500 index every year in the last 10 years.

In the last one year alone, Bitcoin’s Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) has grown by +575% compared to gold’s 0.96% and +35% for S&P 500, while in 10 years, Bitcoin’s CAGR is +200% compared to gold’s and S&P 500’s +2% and +11% respectively.

On average, Bitcoin has returned 155% each year for the past 5 years, while gold has returned 7% on average each year, over the same period.

US Fed Money Printing Policy Is Extremely Good For Bitcoin
On February 26, the US National debt reached a total of $27.9 trillion, with 2020 fiscal measures against the Coronavirus economic effects accounting for a fifth of the total debt at $3.38 trillion.

Additionally, Fed’s Chair Jay Powell is of the opinion that too much stimulus is better than too little, meaning that the US government is tolerant of higher inflation and likely to continue injecting more money into the economy.

Pompliano reflects the general sentiment of the entire bitcoin/crypto community which says that every time the US Fed’s printers “go Brrrr” it’s another endorsement for Bitcoin.

He advises traditional market investors to embrace Bitcoin as a store of value and other sound digital assets, before it is too late.

Read more: ZyCrypto

Indicators point to an accelerating pace of Bitcoin replacing Gold in investor portfolios

According to a Bloomberg Intelligence report released this week, the dominant cryptocurrency Bitcoin is swiftly working its way up to become the new digital gold. This is evident in a chart showing the performances of both assets in which bitcoin has patently been outperforming the metallic asset.

Bitcoin over the years has been gaining more recognition as investors have flocked to the digital asset. “Bitcoin in 2021 is transitioning from a speculative risk asset to a global digital store-of-value”, said the Bloomberg report dating March 2021.

Ending last month on a price of $45,000, the cryptocurrency has since moved past $54,000 in March as at the time of writing. For context, gold which was around US$1,859 per ounce at the start of last month has gone down to US$1,700 per ounce.

The CEO of Microstrategy also chimed in, affirming satirically that Bitcoin was indeed taking over. “The Bitcoin Dragon is devouring the Kingdom of Gold.” He tweeted.

The Bloomberg report which speculated the crypto remaining in the $40,000 to $60,000 threshold would most likely attract responsive buyers at the rate of US$40,000 and increasing demand with a mix of limited supply over time is bound to influence a surge in the value of the currency to $100,000 in 2021.

Recent developments have confirmed the likelihood of this prediction coming about as Tesla – the world’s largest automaker by Market Cap – has shown a growing interest in the digital asset reserve, MicroStrategy stating its support for the currency, Square mentioning that bitcoin sales contributed most to its revenue source the past year, and Meitu, Inc. purchasing Bitcoin worth US$17.9 million for its treasury. The interests from these business giants are capable of influencing an increase in the price of the cryptocurrency and facilitating its acceptability in the global markets, against Gold, which is fast becoming a weak rival.

The inflation concerns in the past week have influenced the fall of most assets, including stocks. Nonetheless, bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have remained steady — strangely flat.

Last month, the US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen backed the idea of digital dollar research in a New York Times conference, as opposed to the opinion of Steve Mnuchin – her predecessor. Citigroup alongside other investment banking giants has noted that bitcoin is potentially taking over, stating that the digital asset could be “the currency of choice”.

On the other hand, the metallic liege lord keeps getting hammered down as a result of the increasing interest rates in the United States as well as its prices struggling in Indian markets.

Noting all these, it is not out of place to predict the potential dominance of Bitcoin in global markets, overthrowing the despotism of the metallic king.

Read more: ZyCrypto

Analysis: If History Repeats, Bitcoin Price Will Never Go Below $10,000

If history is any indicator, Bitcoin’s price should never again go below the $10,000 level.

An important technical indicator reveals that, if history is anything to go by, Bitcoin’s price shouldn’t go back below $10,000 ever again.

And while it seems like we’re a very long way from this mark right now, it’s important to keep things in perspective. After all, BTC was trading below this level less than 7 months ago.

Bitcoin Price Shouldn’t Go Back Below $10,000.
Bitcoin’s price has been on a face-melting bull run throughout the past couple of months. In fact, the last time it was trading below $10,000 was back at the beginning of September 2020 – about 7 months ago.

Now, one of the more popular analysts and bitcoin commentators, as well as a well-known proponent of the cryptocurrency, Carl ‘The Moon’ Runefelt, explained in one of his recent YouTub videos the reason he thinks bitcoin’s price will never go back below $10,000. At least, if history is any indicator, of course.

The Moon explains that this MA “seems to be the line of last support.”

Image by VIN JD from Pixabay
Image by VIN JD from Pixabay

“Tho HODLers are defending these levels and we can’t break it. We’re not able to break it. This means that […] currently the 200 WMA is at $10,000. So, logically, this means that the Bitcoin price can never again go below $10,000.”

Bitcoin’s Ascending History
Looking at the above chart from Bitstamp, we can clearly see that the price for Bitcoin has been trending upwards in the long-term, and there hasn’t been a point where the 200 WMA has been on a descending slope since it started showing data mid-2015.

There were a few attempts to breach the 200 WMA, but all of them were ultimately unsuccessful. Even in March 2020, when the price collapsed throughout the Covid-induced global pandemic and markets tanked, Bitcoin ultimately didn’t close a weekly candle below the 200 WMA.

The other two occasions when the price dropped to this level were back in August 2015 when we saw the famous “capitulation candle,” when BTC price took one last dive below $200 and subsequently fired up the bull market of 2017. The other occasion was the bottom of that bull market in December 2018.

In general, Bitcoin’s market has been cyclic. This is an entirely psychological phenomenon where the market goes through different stages, ultimately resulting in cycles. Of course, things can change, but the key here is the assumption that Bitcoin goes up overtime against the USD.

Most recently, Bitcoin is regaining its momentum following a push to $54K after a notable correction and a few days of indecisiveness. Its total market capitalization, at the time of this writing, sits above $1 trillion, which is definitely a huge milestone to consider.

Read more: CryptoPotato

Fund Manager Bashes Bitcoin: An Extreme Form of Libertarian Anarchism

As Bitcoin price makes headlines across mainstream and financial media, skeptics of cryptocurrencies have come out of the woodwork in droves.

The latest skepticism comes from Tim Bond, partner and portfolio manager at Odey Asset Management, who claims that Bitcoin has very little benefit to society, and instead is an extreme form of Libertarian anarchism. But could there actually be truth in the bold, blanket statement?

Tim Bond Bashes Bitcoin As Pointless, Vile, And Damaging To The Environment
Bitcoin is a subject that most economists, tech enthusiasts entrepreneurs, and fund managers alike are asked about these days, as the asset has ballooned from under $10,000 to more than $50,000 per coin in less than one year.

Depending on who you ask, it is the most important technological revolution since the internet, while others might claim it is a bubble wait to burst.

Tim Bond, fund manager at Odey Asset Management, instead calls it “particularly vile,” “pointless,” and “damaging to the environment.”

Image by 3D Animation Production Company from Pixabay
Image by 3D Animation Production Company from Pixabay

Bond claims that Bitcoin isn’t only emitting more CO2 than most small economies, but that it is spearheading “a particularly extreme form of libertarian anarchism,” which he says is why the cryptocurrency is so popular amongst Silicon Valley types.

“If bitcoin starts to displace fiat currencies [government-issued currency that is not backed by a commodity], governments’ ability to tax, spend and redistribute will be severely impaired,” Bond continued.

Crypto Anarchist Future Prefers Consensus Over Forced Taxation
Bond, however, is absolutely right about at least one thing: Bitcoin could severely impact a “governments’ ability to tax, spend and redistribute” – a system that is arguably broken already.

Governments like the United States establish control over society through their money, and without that leverage, society won’t be as compelled to comply with taxation and other forms of control.

While much of this infrastructure was designed for the benefit of civilized society, governments have abused this control and how they redistribute wealth is a major ongoing economic problem that only Bitcoin has the potential to fix.

Read more: NEWSBTC

Bitcoin Spikes to 2-Week High Above $54K: ETH Tops $1800 (Market Watch)

With bitcoin reaching a new 2-week high and ETH passing by $1,800, the crypto market cap has added $130 billion in a day.

Bitcoin’s market capitalization has reclaimed the coveted $1 trillion level after the asset surged by 8% to about $54,000. Most alternative coins are well in the green as well, and the entire market cap has expanded by $130 billion since yesterday’s low.

BTC Taps $54K
Following a few days of sideways trading and flirting with the $50,000 price tag, BTC has finally spiked well above that line. The bulls took charge during the latest drop to $49,000 as reported yesterday and drove the cryptocurrency north.

In the following hours, bitcoin added more than $4,000 of value and reached $54,500 (on Bitstamp). This became the asset’s highest price tag since February 22nd – just as the sharp retracement had started following the all-time high above $58,000.

Image by mohamed Hassan from Pixabay
Image by mohamed Hassan from Pixabay

Although it has retraced slightly since then, bitcoin is still up by about 8% in the past 24 hours. With its substantial increase, BTC’s market capitalization topped $1 trillion once again after a few weeks-long hiatus.

Interestingly, bitcoin’s gains came amid the turbulence on Wall Street. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed in the red on Monday, but the futures contracts painted gains in after-hours trading as Treasury yields fell from the recent highs.

A Sea of Green for the Alts
Most of the alternative coins have followed their leader in the past 24 hours with impressive gains. Ethereum leads the pack with an 8% increase. As a result, the second-largest cryptocurrency has reclaimed another milestone on its way up – $1,800.

Binance Coin and Ripple have added about 4% of value to $240 and $0.48, respectively. Cardano and Uniswap have painted minor increases, while Polkadot (5%) and Chainlink (9%) have gone above $35 and $31.

Even more impressive price increases are evident from lower- and mid-cap altcoins. Chiliz is the undisputed leader with a 100% surge since yesterday and 380% in the past seven days to $0.27.

On a 24-hour scale, Terra (27%), NEAR Protocol (25%), Quant (25%), Theta Fuel (22%), Hedera Hashgraph (20%), SwissBorg (17%), THETA (16%), Decentraland (16%), and UMA (15%) follow.

In total, the cumulative market capitalization of all cryptocurrency assets has surged from $1.540 trillion to $1.670 trillion in a day. Moreover, the market cap is up by $230 billion in the past five days.

Read more: CyptoPotato

A Debt-Fuelled Economic Crisis & Bitcoin: What to Expect?

With so many bubbles blown by the Federal Reserve, “something will burst soon.”
BTC could become a genuine safe haven if some conditions were met.
After a possible selloff, people will run back towards bitcoin after any crisis has run its course.

It’s hard to shake the fact that bitcoin (BTC)’s ascent from one fresh all-time high to another in recent months has taken place amid a backdrop of a struggling global economy. The United States’ GDP infamously tanked by a record 32.9% in Q2 2020 and fell by 3.5% across 2020 as a whole, while the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected in June that the global economy would shrink by nearly 5% across the same period.

These are somber figures, yet some economists are suggesting that things could get even worse. Economists at the IMF recently warned that public and private debt — which were already rising in 2019 — could reach tipping point as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, crippling the global economy to the point where it can’t properly recover.

Meanwhile, the US might approve their new USD 1.9trn coronavirus relief package in the coming days.

Economists and analysts speaking to Cryptonews.com largely agree with this assessment, even if they disagree on the timeline involved in any debt- and coronavirus-fuelled economic crisis. And while some suggest that commodities such as gold and silver may benefit from any acute crisis, others claim that the bitcoin and cryptoasset markets will suffer, as people and businesses rush for liquidity (i.e. cash), as we already saw during a major market crash in March 2020.

Bitcoin (Image: Antana/CCBY-SA2)
Bitcoin (Image: Antana/CCBY-SA2)

Probabilities, not certainties
Most economic and financial experts appear to agree that some kind of debt-driven slump is approaching, although they tend to disagree on whether this is an inevitability or not.

“I think the crisis is inevitable and coming in the next [few] years,” said Michaël van de Poppe, a cryptocurrency trader and analyst.

“Overall private and public debt are going through the ceiling, while real estate and equity markets are accelerating fast and people are jumping around in euphoric emotions thinking that it will only go up even more. But, then the [US Treasury] yields are crawling upwards,” he added.

Yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds, which is considered to be a safe investment, revisited its one-year high of 1.6% this week, while Goldman Sachs estimates it might hit 1.9% this year as they “believe strong economic data will lead yields to resume their upward trajectory in the coming quarters.”

However, Société Genérale’s Albert Edwards wrote in a note, “the risk is growing that with so many bubbles blown by the [Federal Reserve] something will burst soon.”

However, for economist and author Peter Earle of the American Institute for Economic Research (AIER), a looming debt- and spending-fuelled crisis isn’t completely unavoidable.

“In every moment economic, financial market, and social circumstances change, and thus the likelihood of a downturn changes. Even if all the economic ‘stars’ were aligned in a way that made a crisis, recession, or depression likely within a few months – whatever that means – a single Treasury policy change, Federal Reserve program, or some other influence could and probably would radically change the predicted scenario,” he told Cryptonews.com.

That said, Earle acknowledges that the US and wider international economy is exhibiting many disconcerting signs.

“The huge expansion of the US money supply in March and April of 2020 has had a highly stimulative effect in financial and asset prices […] There’s also an uncomfortable persistence in unemployment rates owing to the lockdowns. So clearly the economy is very hot in some ways and lukewarm in others,” he added.

Read more: cryptonews

Kraken CEO Jesse Powell On Why Bitcoin Price Could Reach $1 Million

Bitcoin has sparkled so far this year. The price of the digital coin is currently experiencing a price pull back at the $50K level and that speaks volumes about its performance. Many opinions are flying around the crypto space regarding Bitcoin’s next step as its impressive journey isn’t looking to stop any time soon.

Bitcoin has also seen a new wave of institutional influx as traditional financial institutions have taken more than a sudden interest in the cryptocurrency as the somewhat endless glow around the coin continues to shine.

Jesse Powell, Kraken CEO and co-founder has now stated that he believes the price of Bitcoin is “going to infinity. Mr. Powell made the comment when asked by reporters what his expectations were regarding Bitcoin.

According to Powell, Bitcoin fanatics firmly affirm that Bitcoin is going to be the world’s top currency. He added that Bitcoin’s market cap could basically equal that of the dollar as well as the euro or both of them combined.

“Of course you know we can only speculate. But when you measure it in terms of dollars you have to think it’s [Bitcoin] going to infinity,” Powell said. “And I think the true believers will tell you that it’s going all the way to the moon, to Mars, and eventually it would be the world’s currency,”

Powell also stated that Bitcoin has a very moderate chance to hit $1 million in the next 10 years, citing the rate at which the U.S. Government continues to print money as a major factor in Bitcoin’s quest to reach infinite numbers.

“I think people are increasingly looking to Bitcoin as a safe haven asset. They see it as a better version of gold, and something to protect them against all of this inflation that’s happening.”

The notion of Bitcoin being a safe haven asset had been solidified even more this year after multi-billion dollar financial corporations have labeled Bitcoin a hedge against market variations.

Powell tipped the presence of the young generation in the current crypto space as a factor that will help propel the digital coin to greater heights. The CEO of Kraken also made news back in December 2020 when he labeled the U.S fiat currency, as a “risky prospect” compared to BTC when in possession.

Read more: ZyCrypto

Bloomberg: Bitcoin Price Expected to Rise 100x an Ounce of Gold

A Bloomberg Intelligence report has analyzed the bitcoin market and its growing stature as the digital store of value. The report looked into various aspects of the top cryptocurrency, including its declining volatility, rising adoption, and growing inflow of funds from a traditional store of value assets such as gold, stocks, and bonds.

Bitcoin in 2021 is transitioning from a speculative risk asset to a global digital store-of-value, in a world going that way, in our view.

We see prudent diversification sustaining a rising tide in this price-discovery stage for nascent Bitcoin.

Bitcoin in this bull run has not just seen its price nearly triple from 2017 high but more importantly seen a massive adoption from institutions that are using it as a treasury reserve asset amid declining US Dollar value.

$100,000 Could Be Bitcoin’s Next Threshold
Bitcoin in 2021 has managed to surpass its earlier threshold of $50,000 price target and $1 trillion market cap that too only within two months of this year. With the rising demand vs. declining supply and an increasingly favorable macroeconomic environment, the report cites Bitcoin has matured as an asset class and could reach the $100,000 price threshold by the end of 2021.

Image by mohamed Hassan from Pixabay
Image by mohamed Hassan from Pixabay

It’s unlikely there will ever be a Bitcoin equivalent that’s no one’s liability or project.

The report also cites that Bitcoin’s relative volatility is on a decline against gold and if the nascent digital asset continues to behave similarly, its volatility would be less than that of Amazon and other stocks in a couple of years. Bitcoin is gaining momentum entering the 60/40 mix partly due to when paired with gold the top cryptocurrency outperforms and has less risk than the S&P 500.

The report also cites that the current price volatility and selling come from majorly from retail traders and quite similar to the early 2017 selling pattern, however in the long run hodlers would outnumber these weak sellers.

Potential For Bitcoin Price to Stabilize Around 100x an Ounce of Gold
The current selling patterns and outflow of funds from stocks and the Gold market and if the trend continues the price of one Bitcoin is expected to rise 100X the price of an ounce of gold.

A potential path for the Bitcoin price is to stabilize around 100x an ounce of gold and for volatility to resume its downward trajectory.

The report analysis suggests that bitcoin price would continue to rise by 55X to 15X as supply diminishes after every block reward halving.

Read more: CoinGape