Some analysts are calling for the Bitcoin price to reach as high as $150,000 in 2022.
Analysts believe the latest halving is helping to push the price up.
Institutional investments are helping provide mainstream legitimacy to BTC.

The incredible rise in the Bitcoin price and increased interest from financial companies have led to monumental projections for the asset in the coming months.

Bitcoin recently overtook the $50,000 mark again as its upward trajectory has been mostly unharmed by small dips and backslides. BTC was able to reach $52,600 on March 3 before retreating back under $50,000 on March 4.

Bitcoin has been on a successive streak of record shattering prices, setting an all-time high of $58,333 on Feb. 21. In trying to explain the reason for this price push, analysts have pointed to a number of factors, but specifically the last halving.

Bitcoin Bull Calls
William Quigley, managing director of Magnetic, told CNN Business that the past BTC halving has been key in the current bull run.

“What’s happened historically whenever that happens for between the next 12 and 18 month, Bitcoin can go up between 300% and 500%,” said Quigley.

The most recent halving happened in May 2020. There has been some skepticism that it may not have the same effect on the price as the previous halvings did.

This was seen after the second halving of July 2016. On the day of the halving the price was at $660 — 17 months later in December 2017 it hit a new high of $20,000.

If this trend and Quigley’s analysis are correct, hitting $100,000 or even above that is not impossible. We are already seeing this pump in the price and it’s only been less than a year since the halving happened.

Other Impacting Factors
While the halving may be having a strong impact on the price, there are other factors that go into pushing Bitcoin higher.

The interest and monetary investment of corporations into Bitcoin have been a major boost for the cryptocurrency. While actual cash injections like Tesla’s $1.5 billion purchase did help push the price, the media and spectacle around such events also contribute to interest and investment.

Nods towards acceptance and backing by other financial institutions have also helped. Goldman Sachs even recently announced that it will reopen its cryptocurrency trading desk.

Institutional hesitancy towards BTC has been one reason it has not succeeded in achieving mainstream acceptance in years previous. Banks and big financial houses cited its volatile nature when explaining why they did not consider it an asset class or valuable investment for itself or clients.

The recent change in tone by institutions could see a fundamental shift towards the acceptance that has so long been denied, along with an impressive price rise.

Read more: beINcrypto

The S2FX model predicts that the Bitcoin (BTC) price will surely touch $100K in the next few months, and $288,000 by 2024. Fidelity Director has praised PlanB for making accurate BTC price predictions so far using S2FX.

PlanB, the creator of the Bitcoin stock-to-flow model, is pretty much confident that the BTC price is following his charts. On Monday, March 1, PlanB provided an update post the major BTC price crash on the previous day. Before today’s 6% surge, BTC was trading at Around $45K levels on Monday when PlanB’s update arrived.

As the author notes, the BTC price is following the S2FX model like a “clockwork”. Previously, PlanB has stated several times that Bitcoin (BTC) is all set to touch $100K levels anytime between April-September this year. The way Bitcoin has been moving so far in 2021, the target price doesn’t seem impossible.

At press time, BTC is trading 6.6% up at a price of $49,064 with a market cap of $913 billion. On February 22, Bitcoin (BTC) touched an all-time high of $58,000, however, it has corrected more than 20% since then. Since BTC price movement continues as per the S2F model, reach $288,000 by 2024.

Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model has gained much popularity among its investors and PlanB’s followers. The model measures the futures BTC price movements based on the number of years it would take the current BTC supply. A higher value of S2XF is a bullish indicator as it indicates scarcity.

Fidelity Director Praises PlanB’s Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Model
On Monday, Fidelity‘s director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer released his new report “Understanding Bitcoin” wherein he explains how Bitcoin has gained mainstream adoption and its evolution as Digital Gold. “In my view, bitcoin has evolved to the point that it could be treated as a form of digital gold…a possible counterweight to future monetary inflation,” he tweeted.

Interestingly, Timmer has mentioned the Stock-to-Flow (S2FX) model and why he finds it exciting. He writes:

“Bitcoin’s Stock-to-Flow (S2F) pricing model is a popular valuation approach among bitcoin’s most vocal proponents. The S2F model’s price projections are eyepopping. The model predicted the price of one bitcoin at $24k this year (done!) and $463k in 2025. One can see why bitcoiners are so excited”.

Timmer, however, adds that while taking the supply of BTC into the equation, the S2FX model doesn’t take the demand into consideration. “Again, price lies at the intersection of demand and supply, and without the demand side kicking in, it doesn’t really matter how scarce the supply is. Thus, I see S2F as a one-dimensional model in that regard,” he notes.

Read more: Coinspeaker

Ruffer, the British asset manager, and Citi Group, the investment banking giant in separate predictions said that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are inching closer towards mainstream adoption. The prediction comes at a time when Bitcoin price seems to be stuck under $50,000 ever since breaking past its new all-time-high above $58,000 a couple of weeks back.

Ruffer has a total of $28.6 billion in total assets under its management and recently also revealed that it has invested 3% of its asset in Bitcoin and also holds indirect exposure through its position in MicroStrategy. The firm in its half-yearly financial report lauded Bitcoin as the next-gen institutional investment asset and said,
“We think we are relatively early to this, at the foothills of a long trend of institutional adoption and financialisation of bitcoin,”

The firm added

“Bitcoin brings something significantly different to the portfolio.Due to zero interest rates the investment world is desperate for new safe-havens and uncorrelated assets,”

CITI Group Says Bitcoin Can Become Primary Choice of Currency For International Trade
CITI Group released its research note on Monday as well, in this note CITI Group cited Bitcoin’s growing adoption and believe it is at the starting point of mainstream adoption and its primary use could grow in the field of international trade. The investment banking giant in its research note said,

Bitcoin price has more than doubled since the start of the year, however, the price movements have changed significantly in 2021, where the top cryptocurrency has risen in the first week of every new month creating a new all-time high, followed by a sharp correction and weeks of consolidation before another price rise.

After covering the losses of the previous month in the first week of February, Bitcoin rose to a new ATH and corrected 20% in the following week followed by another week of consolidation to rising above $50,000. The highly bullish events such as MicroStrategy’s another Billion Dollar Bitcoin purchase and the US Government’s approval of the $1.9 Trillion Stimulus bill also couldn’t help Bitcoin price to stay above $50K. The start of the new month and continuous institutional buying along with other on-chain metrics suggest Bitcoin could start its next leg of the bull run.

Read more: CoinGape

ELON MUSK might have set himself on a collision course with the EU – as after his Bitcoin investment, the European Central Bank (ECB) issued a stark warning about the cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin hit record highs earlier this month after Elon Musk’s car company Tesla said it had bought about $1.5billion (£1.1bn) of the cryptocurrency. Bitcoin rose above $48,000 (£34,820) before falling back slightly. Some investors took Tesla’s move as a signal that Bitcoin would become a mainstream financial asset.

According to Daniel Ives, analyst at Wedbush Securities, Tesla has made roughly $1billion (£723million) in paper profits from its investment.

Mr Ives estimated in a note published on Saturday: “The company is on a trajectory to make more from its Bitcoin investments than profits from selling its EV (electric vehicle) cars in all of 2020.”

Mr Musk’s endorsement of the digital currency, which he has in the past described as “simply a less dumb form of liquidity than cash”, might set him on a collision course against the European Union, though.

As Bitcoin’s price surged to a new historical high, the European Central Bank’s President Christine Lagarde launched a stark warning against the cryptocurrency earlier this month.

She said: “It [Bitcoin] is not a currency. Cryptocurrencies are not money.

The ECB President then underlined the lack of guarantees of real stability, as in the case of the euro or the dollar.

Explaining the risks consumers are exposed to, Ms Lagarde continued: “It is imperative that, if an activity is carried out by a private actor, this activity, if it is similar to money, is subject to exactly the same rules, exactly the same rations, exactly the same control mechanisms.

“So even if they are not money, but are ‘similar’ to them, the rules for cryptocurrencies and fiat currencies must be the same.”

In a recent report, the head of Oxford-based think-tank Euro Intelligence Wolfgang Munchau criticised Ms Lagarde, arguing her comment “goes to the heart of the misunderstanding of the economics and central bank professions about the nature of Bitcoin”.

He wrote: “It will not be up to them to decide whether or not it is money.

“That question will be settled by those who use it.

“Fiat money is a social contract that exists because people trust it.

“The betting on Bitcoin, including Elon Musk’s €1.5billion (£1.1bn) investment, constitute a bet that this might not always be so.”

Mr Munchau noted the world may only be a couple of policy mistakes away from an environment in which the use of digital money, Bitcoin and others, could become more widespread.

He explained: “Bitcoin is not only a bet against inflation like gold or silver. It is a bet against a system in which money is used as a policy tool. It is no surprise that the launch of Bitcoin, in 2009, coincided with the advent of quantitative easing.

“The widespread misunderstanding of policy makers is that the intention of Bitcoin was never to create a rival to the euro or the dollar but to create a device that protects from economists and central bankers or governments that want to track electronic payments.

“The group of techies who started the project with an article in 2009 saw Bitcoin as a device to protect individuals from state control of all kinds – by creating a stateless currency that could be used in transactions and a store of value.

Read more: Express